The sugar production during the current season (October-September) is expected to be around 306 LMT — around 10.79 per cent — compared to the initial estimate of around 343 LMT by sugarcane-growing states, the government informed on Friday. According to a Press Information Bureau (PIB) release, the production has been affected by Red Rot and Top Borer disease in sugarcane, as well as waterlogging caused by excess rainfall.
However, the government informed that despite the lower than estimated production, adequate sugar stocks are available in the country to meet domestic demand until the new crushing season begins in October.
Govt on Sugar Prices
The Government is closely monitoring the recent spike in sugar prices and has taken a series of measures to ensure adequate availability of sugar and stable prices for consumers, the release said.
Sugar prices have increased in recent weeks, from Rs 48.18 per kg on 20 July 2026 to Rs 55.70 per kg on 20 August 2026.
Ethanol Not The Reason For Rise in Sugar Prices
The government has also ruled out that sugar prices have increased due to diversion for ethanol production, saying it is incorrect to attribute the recent increase.
The government in fact said that the share of sugar diverted for ethanol has declined from around 12 per cent in 2022-23 to around 9 per cent in 2025-26. Moreover, nearly three-fourths of the ethanol produced in the country now comes from grains, particularly maize.
The present increase in sugar prices is due to a combination of factors, including lower-than-expected domestic production, increased demand ahead of the festive season, weather-related damage to the sugarcane crop, tightening global sugar supplies and speculation and hoarding by some sections of the industry.
Global Prices Increased Globally
The tightening of sugar supplies is a global phenomenon and is not limited to India.
The global sugar deficit for 2026-27 is estimated at around 33 LMT. Concerns over weather conditions have further affected the global outlook.
As a result, international sugar prices have risen sharply from $474 per tonne on 30 June 2026 to $552 per tonne on 20 August 2026 — an increase of over 16% in less than two months.
Ethanol Programme Helped Farmers Strengthen Sugar Mills
India normally produces around 320-340 LMT of sugar annually, against domestic consumption of around 280-290 LMT. In years of surplus production, excess stocks block the funds of sugar mills and can delay payments to sugarcane farmers.
Diversion of excess sugar towards ethanol has helped address this structural problem and improved the financial health of sugar mills.
The results are visible. As on 20 August 2026, 97% of sugarcane dues for the 2025-26 sugar season have already been paid to farmers.
The improved financial position of sugar mills has also reduced their dependence on Government support. While around Rs 14,600 crore of subsidy was provided to the sugar industry between 2014 and 2021, no such subsidy has been announced since 2021-22.
At the same time, sugar prices for consumers have remained broadly stable over the longer term, increasing by only around 3 per cent annually between August 2024 and July 2026.
Government Acting Against Hoarding, To Increase Supply
The Government has observed that speculation and hoarding by some sugar mills and traders have also contributed to the recent price increase. Several steps have therefore been taken:
A stock limit of 400 tonnes has been imposed on sugar dealers across the country from 1 August to 30 November 2026.
From 1 September, bulk consumers will not be permitted to hold sugar stocks exceeding 15 days of consumption.
Joint teams of Central and State Government officials are carrying out physical verification of sugar stocks at mills to check hoarding and artificial scarcity.
As a precautionary measure, the Government has decided to permit duty-free import of 10 LMT of raw sugar to further augment domestic availability.
States and sugar mills have been advised to begin crushing from 15 October 2026. This is expected to raise October sugar production from the usual 3-4 LMT to more than 10 LMT, further improving availability during the festive season.
The Government remains committed to protecting the interests of both consumers and sugarcane farmers. It will continue to closely monitor sugar stocks, prices and market practices and take all necessary measures to prevent hoarding and unwarranted price increases while ensuring timely payment of dues to farmers.
